Thanks, conservatives: Akin jumps ahead of McCaskill in new poll
The Kansas City Star
A new poll out Wednesday morning contains some bad news for Claire McCaskill supporters: Ultraconservative Missouri voters aren’t going away.
Apparently they are going to support Republican Todd Akin in his U.S. Senate battle with McCaskill no matter what dumb things Akin says, especially on abortion.
The new poll - conducted Monday and Tuesday by a Republican-leaning group - shows Akin up 45-42.
And with conservatives, Akin is way ahead: 81-5.
More bad news for McCaskill, from the pollster:
“Despite the firestorm of news in the Senate race over the past few weeks, most voters have already made up their mind in the race, the survey shows. The fact that 80 percent said they were firm in their choice certainly indicates that this is a race that will be decided more by ideology and turnout efforts by the campaigns and less by breaking news that flashes across the news pages and cable news channels.”
Now I know McCaskill and others in her camp supposedly are hoping for results just like this one, encouraging enough to keep Akin in the race so he won’t drop out for a “stronger” candidate.
Theory is, McCaskill will eventually edge Akin when Missouri voters come to their senses.
But I would look at things another way: If a terribly wounded Akin is doing this to McCaskill in polls today, what kind of larger margin could a “stronger” Republican compile against the Democrat?
Yes, the new poll by Wenzel Strategies is far different from another one taken last week for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch/News 4. It showed McCaskill with a nine-point lead over Akin.
But it also shows that - just because the GOP establishment has called on Akin to get out of the race - the voters aren’t necessarily listening.
At least, the conservative voters Akin cares the most about aren’t listening.
That’s his strategy: Keep up the effort to make it appear they will support him through thick or thin, so he won’t have to drop out of the race.
It’s working. So far.