Romney's good news in Missouri (sorry, McCaskill)
Yael T. AbouhalkahMissouri’s status as a bellwether state in presidential races was undercut in 2008, when its voters supported Republican John McCain but Democrat Barack Obama won the presidency.
The GOP’s Mitt Romney, at this point, sure must hope Missouri’s bellwether status returns in 2012.
(UPDATED AT 2 PM: The respected Nate Silver of NYT analyzes data and finds Romney has 76 percent chance of winning Missouri.)
A new telephone survey from the GOP-leaning Rasmussen Reports contains good news for Romney: He leads Obama 49 percent to 42 percent.
(But, yes, here’s the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling result from a week ago, showing Obama ahead by a mere 1 percent.)
(But, the respected Nate Silver of NYT analyzes data and finds Romney has 76 percent chance of winning Missouri.)
The Rasmussen news is far less encouraging for Democratic incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill.
She will be facing one of three main GOP challengers, who are fighting in the August primary to face her in the November general election.
Is McCaskill toast? Of course not. She still has the moxie to wage a determined fight against whoever emerges to challenge her.
However, given Obama’s less-than-popular status in Missouri, it doesn’t appear the president will have any coattail effect on McCaskill’s election this year. So don’t expect to see the president sweeping through the state on a regular basis.
Kent Mueller
1 year agoAt some point, Claire may regret voting significantly with Harry Reid. Or, she may regret being voted out for significantly voting with Harry Reid. I suppose it will be one or the other.
Steven Fetter
66223
1 year agoThe local television advertising departments are not happy.
For the rest of us, even the erectile disfunction commercials are preferred to the slow motion, black and white, menacing political ads demonizing the other side.
Enjoy the incoming red tide.
Jake Latham
1 year agoObama only lost Missouri in 2008 by 3000 votes out of millions of votes. This poll isn’t gonna scare McCaskill, as Missouri voters are not hyper-partisan and could very well elect McCaskill and Romney together.
And having one poll show Obama leading and another showing Romney, combined with the very tight results last time, and President Obama is likely to put more effort than 2008, which was very little, but still nearly produced a win.
George Hunsucker
Northland
1 year agoEverything is AOK… Obama said today the “private sector is doing fine”. The only problem is govt. jobs….
Is this guy for real?????
Kent Mueller
1 year agoJake, you sound like MSNBC when they were in denial the night of the Wisconsin election.
http://www.mrctv.org/videos/jon-stewart-slams-msnbcs-coverage-walker-recall-election-msnb-sad
Michael Warren
1 year agoJake,
It is very possible President Obama will win again but Missouri WON’T be one of the states he carrys. MCaskill is toast.
Domenic Serrone
Kansas City
1 year agoThe private sector is doing fine. Don’t take it from President Obama or MSNBC, take it from your “fair and balanced” Fox News http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1656748617001/record-breaking-year-for-corporate-profits
Oh, and the “fortunate son” draft dodger Mitt Romney, or ANY draft dodger liberal or conservative, isn’t fit to ever be the commander and chief of our armed forces.